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TSLA โ€” Weekly Delta Analysis
TSLA
Weekly delta analysis ยท 829 weeks of data ยท Adjusted for splits
Current Price
$435.79
Avg Weekly Up
+6.3%
~$7
Avg Weekly Down
-4.6%
~$-5
Expected Range
$416โ€“463
Next week (avg)
Max Weekly Up
+207.1%
Max Weekly Down
-35.9%
๐Ÿ“Š Rolling Backtest (Last 52 Weeks)

Click a safety level to see when you would've been called away and current premiums:

80%
Strike needs +9.7% move
Kept Shares 45/52
Called Away 7ร—
Success Rate 86.5%
Click for details โ†’
85%
Strike needs +11.2% move
Kept Shares 49/52
Called Away 3ร—
Success Rate 94.2%
Click for details โ†’
90%
Strike needs +13.4% move
Kept Shares 50/52
Called Away 2ร—
Success Rate 96.2%
Click for details โ†’
95%
Strike needs +17.3% move
Kept Shares 51/52
Called Away 1ร—
Success Rate 98.1%
Click for details โ†’
97%
Strike needs +22.1% move
Kept Shares 52/52
Called Away 0ร—
Success Rate 100%
Click for details โ†’
90% Safety Level
๐Ÿ’ฐ Current Premium at This Strike ($0)
๐Ÿ“… Weeks You Would've Been Called Away (0)
Week Prev Close Strike Actual High Exceeded By
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Monthly Assignment Risk

Historical volatility by month โ€” higher risk score = bigger weekly swings

Jan
10.7%
โ†‘5.9% โ†“-4.9%
Feb
11.5%
โ†‘6.1% โ†“-5.4%
Mar
11.1%
โ†‘5.4% โ†“-5.7%
Apr
11.6%
โ†‘6.8% โ†“-4.8%
May
11%
โ†‘6.5% โ†“-4.5%
Jun
10.2%
โ†‘6.7% โ†“-3.6%
Jul
11.2%
โ†‘6.6% โ†“-4.6%
Aug
13.2%
โ†‘8.6% โ†“-4.5%
Sep
9.6%
โ†‘5.4% โ†“-4.2%
Oct
10.1%
โ†‘5.8% โ†“-4.3%
Nov
11.5%
โ†‘7% โ†“-4.5%
Dec
9.7%
โ†‘5.1% โ†“-4.6%
Delta (ฮ”) โ€” The weekly price change from previous close. ฮ” = (price - prev_close) / prev_close ร— 100
๐ŸŸก Yellow bars indicate high-volatility weeks (potential earnings).
๐Ÿ“Š Weekly Delta Bands โ€” Last 52 Weeks
Jerk (ฮ”ยฒ) โ€” Rate of change of delta. Jerk = ฮ”(week) - ฮ”(week-1)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Weekly Jerk โ€” Delta Acceleration
Snap (ฮ”ยณ) โ€” Rate of change of jerk. Snap = Jerk(week) - Jerk(week-1)
โšก Weekly Snap
Crackle (ฮ”โด) โ€” Rate of change of snap. Crackle = Snap(week) - Snap(week-1)
๐Ÿ”ฅ Weekly Crackle
Pop (ฮ”โต) โ€” Rate of change of crackle. Pop = Crackle(week) - Crackle(week-1)
๐Ÿ’ฅ Weekly Pop
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Strike Safety Targets

Click a safety level to use its premium in the wheel calculator below:

80%
$477.93
needs +9.67% move
No options data
Click to use โ†“
85%
$484.76
needs +11.24% move
No options data
Click to use โ†“
90%
$494.14
needs +13.39% move
No options data
Click to use โ†“
95%
$511.13
needs +17.29% move
No options data
Click to use โ†“
97%
$532.13
needs +22.11% move
No options data
Click to use โ†“
๐ŸŽฏ Covered Call Wheel Calculator

Weekly premium income by contracts (1 contract = 100 shares)

1 = $43,579 capital
Typical weekly: $30โ€“$150
ContractsSharesCapital Req'dWeeklyMonthlyYearlyAnn. Yield
1ร— 100 $43,579 โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
2ร— 200 $87,158 โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
3ร— 300 $130,737 โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
4ร— 400 $174,316 โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
5ร— 500 $217,895 โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
6ร— 600 $261,474 โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
7ร— 700 $305,053 โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
8ร— 800 $348,632 โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
9ร— 900 $392,211 โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
10ร— 1,000 $435,790 โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
Your Contracts
1
Shares Controlled
100
Capital Required
$43,579
Your Weekly
$50
Your Monthly
$200
Your Annual Yield
โ€”
๐Ÿ’ก Strike Reference (current: $435.79)
80% safe $478 +9.67%
85% safe $485 +11.24%
90% safe $494 +13.39%
95% safe $511 +17.29%
97% safe $532 +22.11%